Guest Opinion: Three horizons of growth in a challenging world 世界观焦点
Despite a low-growth environment, or perhaps because of the sobering outlook, it is so crucial not to lose sight of avenues to relaunch growth and put us on a firm trajectory to new competitiveness and resilience. In this respect, I would like to point to three horizons of growth for short-, medium- and long-term revitalization of the global economy.
(相关资料图)
by Mirek Dusek
The world is currently mired in a low-growth environment, with the latest International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts projecting global growth at 2.8 percent in 2023 and 3 percent in 2024 -- rates that are well below the average over the past decade.
This is in the context of other ongoing fragilities including stubborn inflation, a global debt crisis, geo-economic rivalry, geopolitical conflict, and vulnerabilities in the financial sector.
Despite this sobering outlook, or perhaps because of it, it is so crucial not to lose sight of avenues to relaunch growth and put us on a firm trajectory to new competitiveness and resilience. In this respect, I would like to point to three horizons of growth for short-, medium- and long-term revitalization of the global economy.
REOPENED ASIAN ECONOMIES
Among the regions hardest hit by the COVID-19 pandemic, Asia is emerging from a protracted period of muted economic activity and looks set to resume its role as the world"s growth engine. China"s reopening has provided a much-needed boost to both the regional and global economy.
The reopening of crucial Asian economies at large provides us with immediate growth markets which can spur growth in the short term and establish a base to overcome the low-growth environment moving forward.
In comparison with other regions, the Asia-Pacific is by far the brightest spot for economic growth, with the IMF"s latest estimates projecting the region to contribute 67.4 percent of all global growth in 2023, and with China alone contributing 34.9 percent of that total.
The annual growth rate for the region is projected at 4.6 percent for 2023, representing a significant increase from the 3.8 percent growth posted last year, and is especially strong as global growth projections are gloomy overall, due to an especially pronounced slowdown in advanced economies.
Of particular importance is the region"s manufacturing sector, which plays a crucial role in economic activities and, to ensure continued growth, it will have to adapt to the changing investment and consumption appetites affected by this period of transition.
NEW GENERATION OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP, INNOVATION
In spite of global economic fragilities, new ideas, approaches, and mindsets inherent to entrepreneurship and innovation can spur the momentum needed to create more equitable, sustainable, and resilient growth models. We should also remember that many successful companies were born out of adversity and at times of crisis.
It is thus important that even in the current challenging economic context, continuous funding has been flowing to digital and green industries, which are two essential components to successfully bringing innovation to market.
At a macroeconomic level, it is estimated that 70 percent of all new value created in the global economy over the next decade will be based on digitally enabled platforms and business models, while the rapid development and adoption of frontier technologies, including artificial intelligence (AI) and quantum computing, will have significant impacts across all sectors of the economy.
As an example, despite a slowdown in global venture capital funding overall, funding for companies engaged with AI has expanded significantly and represented about 13 percent of total new funding in May.
Trade in green goods, meanwhile, reached a record 1.9 trillion U.S. dollars in 2022 and will continue to drive growth and new jobs. Activities based on the green economy must continue to accelerate over the medium term as much work remains to be done.
According to the International Energy Agency, over 40 percent of the emissions that need to be cut to reach net zero between 2050 and 2070 must be addressed with technologies not currently being implemented at scale and are in the early adoption phase. This presents a significant opportunity for both business activity and public policy to be re-oriented towards sustainability, creating positive growth trajectories.
REWIRED COOPERATION
Over the longer term, the only way for the world to propel itself out of the low-growth environment is through cooperation. The global geopolitical environment is experiencing strong headwinds and demonstrating a tendency towards increased fragmentation and polarization.
Ultimately, however, the world needs effective and productive cooperation to allow for trade, investment, and the exchange of ideas to achieve and sustain growth.
The costs of rejecting cooperation are too high. A recent analysis by the IMF put the long-term costs of severe fragmentation at almost 7 percent of global output and highlighted disruption in trade, as that would potentially impact global living standards as severely as COVID-19. While we will certainly continue to have our differences, persisting with cooperation will secure our future.
All of these topics will be at the core of the agenda for the 14th Annual Meeting of the New Champions, also known as the Summer Davos Forum, in north China"s Tianjin Municipality on June 27-29.
Editor"s note: Mirek Dusek is World Economic Forum Managing Director responsible for global programming.
The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the positions of Xinhua News Agency.
标签:
为您推荐
广告
- Guest Opinion: Three horizons of growth in a challenging world 世界观焦点
- 动物“明星效应” 吸引更多人逛动物园
- 沈阳专科医院治疗哮喘病大约多少钱
- 快看点丨汉宇集团6月28日快速上涨
- 今日讯!向日葵开花(有着巨大的黄色花盘和绿色茎干)
- 全球热点!卡洛斯奥特曼(卡洛斯一世)
- Animcraft 4.0新版发布-全球热议
- 代嫁新娘泰剧国语版免费观看2019_代嫁新娘
- 拒离队!巴萨乱了!亏9000万,下最后通牒,哈维拿他们没办法
- 东吴证券:资负共振推升ROE回暖 重点关注头部寿险公司
- 全球聚焦:移动卡怎么查服务密码(移动卡怎么刷钻)
- 查询电话号码吉凶_查询电话号
- 新动态:广西壮族自治区桂林市2023-06-20 13:55发布雷电黄色预警
- a1660是苹果什么型号是多少寸的-a1660是苹果什么型号 天天动态
- 【世界快播报】将于年内上市,整车造型时尚,江铃福特全顺V363官图发布
- 闷组词_闷
- 全球观焦点:快讯/大牙点名黑人陈建州性骚!《黑涩会》就受害:想起就恐惧
- 报道:上海浦东新区政府与中国东航签署深化合作战略协议
- 锐界空调滤芯拆装图(锐界的空调在哪个位置?)-全球播报
- 环球看热讯:及时果断启动应急响应!国家防办、应急管理部部署重点地区防汛抗旱工作
- 1赶早班飞机要住酒店?天府机场上新国内航班过夜服务
- 2mt6735相当于骁龙(mt6735)|天天观察
- 3农发行阜平县支行多措并举加强车辆管理 为支行经营发展保驾护航
- 4为烟火气拧上“安全阀”!新余警方开展餐饮业安全隐患大排查|全球微动态
- 5简讯:利息收入怎么记账会计分录(理财产品利息收入会计分录)
- 6说文解词|从“讲信修睦”里看大国外交之路
- 7夺高尔夫大满贯赛冠军 20岁殷若宁获得千万奖金_世界今日讯
- 8今日快讯:孕妇经历4天马拉松式产程医生助其成功顺产
- 9男爵创作者在拍摄结束时分享了对新改编的反应
- 10我国首头雌性二代江豚满周岁 生长情况良好-精彩看点
- 1“前3倍牛”晋级3连板!氢能源概念人气大增,产业链发展进快车道,关注这些细分景气方向
- 2【党徽在警营闪光】生死线上的“拆弹专家”|每日热门
- 3女人的英语_人的英语
- 4东威科技: 首台第三代光伏镀铜设备已基本制作完成 正在调试中
- 5焦点!籍贯填写规范是怎样的?籍贯的正确填写规范是什么?-天天微动态
- 6环球焦点!再添“国字号”名片!鹤壁入选全国首批创新驱动示范市
- 7微速讯:通源环境:6月26日融资买入72.62万元,融资融券余额2094.56万元
- 8当前观点:福建实现网络零售额595亿元
- 9天天日报丨2023年6月27日三甲胺价格最新行情预测
- 10山西发现战国水井遗存 实证2400年前筑井技术 天天观速讯
广告
- “骑”心协力,远离毒品!马家店街道开展禁毒骑行宣传活动-全球微动态
- 环球热点评!广州撬动科技创新“杠杆”:50亿元科创母基金放大财政资金超9倍
- 全球今头条!中信证券:首次覆盖贵金属催化剂行业并给予“强于大市”评级
- 真正意义上的第一位女性画家_全球快资讯
- 天天报道:传统车企积极转型,混动市场竞争加剧
- 全球简讯:中国网球惹争议!商竣程1-2惜败,张帅惨遭11连败,球迷怒批退役
- 甘都镇六村群众喝上优质“安心水”_全球时讯
- 郭德纲为何没上天津卫视相声春晚 郭德纲天津春晚表演智能时代惹争议) 头条焦点
- 世界微头条丨路中心黄色虚线属于哪一类标志线_路中心黄色虚线属于哪一类标线
- 美股基本平开 特斯拉跌超2%
- 新化县田坪镇开展“全民禁毒进万家”宣传教育活动
- 2022年广州先进制造业增加值占规上工业比重逾六成 重点聚焦
- 微视频丨熟悉的陌生人
- 今日热讯:华为安全气囊新专利公布,可根据坐姿调整气囊的展开状态 #华为 #气囊
- 时讯:2023年安徽淮北市普通高中招生工作日程安排
- 有痛风还能买百万医疗吗?买百万医疗的手续有哪些?-当前热点
- 我国拟立法保障粮食安全_每日聚焦
- 中国天楹:与怀来县人民政府签署100MWh重力储能项目合作协议-今亮点
- 【世界快播报】湖北武汉洪山区:持续加强新业态新就业群体党建工作
- 每日机构分析:6月26日